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- 🤖 Deepfakes, fasle convictions, and Buffetts A.I. prediction
🤖 Deepfakes, fasle convictions, and Buffetts A.I. prediction
2/15/23
Good morning and welcome to the latest edition of neonpulse!
Here's what we have for you today:
Warren Buffetts early A.I. prediction
Deepfake Joe Rogan pushes dick pills
Creating the next generation of police sketches
And the terrifying prospects of A.I. for knowledge workers
Warren Buffetts take on A.I.
Let’s take it back to 2017, way before the ChatGPT hype, when Warren Buffett had an interesting take on how A.I. would change the world.
When asked how the increased productivity from such a technology would impact the economy, Buffett had this to say:
“I would think it would result in significantly less employment in certain areas, but that’s good for society.”
With widespread automation, Warren pontificated, people would be able to work fewer hours a week but still produce the same amount of goods and services.
The possibility of a utopian society where robots perform all of the work and where humans have time for unlimited leisure sounds great in principal…
But how will this situation play out in reality?
Buffet went on:
“If you cut everybody’s hours in half, that’s one thing. If you fire half the people and the other people keep working – I think it gets very unpredictable.”
Will businesses of the future let their workers capture the value created by A.I., allowing them to work less hours with the same pay?
Or will companies use this new technology to boost productivity while cutting back on headcount, minimizing overhead and improving profitability?
Here’s Warrens take from an even earlier interview back in 2016:
"I would think the biggest value will come when it actually replaces human labor. That is quantifiable, and machines don't come around annually and ask for wage increases, and they don't need healthcare."
So who will be the real winners in the A.I revolution?
Workers? Or business owners?
Only time will tell.
Joe Rogan’s Deepfake Debut
A deepfake ad for supplements featuring Joe Rogan is making the rounds on Tiktok, which is sure to boost sales in the short term and produce lawsuits in the near future.
The fake conversation between Rogan and Professor Andrew Huberman discusses the benefits of testosterone supplements for men:
“Guys are figuring out that it literally is increasing size and making a difference down there,” says Rogan.
The ad concludes with Rogan encouraging his listeners to hop over to Amazon and pick up a bottle from the brand “Alpha Grind.”
And while the voice quality of the deepfake isn’t perfect, as the technology continues to evolve, it’s only going to be a matter of time before deep fakes become indistinguishable from reality.
You can check out the ad here.
Hyper-realistic police sketches
The result of a December hackathon, two developers have created a tool called Sketch AI-rtist to create hyper-realistic police sketches.
The developers behind the product used OpenAI’s DALL-E image generation model to create the forensic sketch program in order to help save police departments time while trying to identify suspects.
“We haven’t released the product yet, so we don’t have any active users at the moment. At this stage, we are still trying to validate if this project would be viable to use in a real world scenario or not. For this, we’re planning on reaching out to police departments in order to have input data that we can test this on.”
The program asks witnesses to provide basic information on the suspect (including gender, skin color, age, hair color, and eye color) and the DALL-E integration is able to instantly produce an AI-generated portrait.
The problem with a tool like this?
Eyewitness testimony is notoriously unreliable, leading to the real possibility of false convictions.
“Research has shown that humans remember faces holistically, not feature-by-feature. A sketch process that relies on individual feature descriptions like this AI program can result in a face that’s strikingly different from the perpetrator’s” said Jennifer Lynch, the Surveillance Litigation Director of the Electronic Frontier Foundation.
According to Lynch, mistaken eyewitness identifications contributed to nearly 70% percent of the wrongful convictions in the U.S. that later ended up being overturned by DNA evidence.
Spooky stuff.
Preparing for a post-GPT world
If you were curious about what software developers think about ChatGPT, a senior software engineer recently uploaded a video to Youtube explaining his thoughts on how the new technology would impact his industry.
In the video he demonstrates the ease of writing code using simple text prompts, describing the rapid progress of the technology as “terrifying.”
“I always thought that if there ever was an AI take over, that people on the lower end, like people working less intellectual jobs and manual labor jobs, would probably be replaced first.”
“But unfortunately, with the release of ChatGPT, things have become a little worrying, because it seems like AI has been advancing a lot faster than robotics, and that knowledge workers may actually be made obsolete before manual laborers.”
“At the current rate of advancement, software engineers, lawyers, and doctors will be made obsolete within at most 5 years. “You cannot possibly depend on your "knowledge worker" 6-figure salary if you want to live comfortably past 2027. My advice is you need to find a way to monetize either your body or your relatability.”
Looks like it’s time to get that onlyfans up and running…
And now your moment of zen
That’s all for today folks!
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