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- 🤖 America's AI embargo fail
🤖 America's AI embargo fail
5/10/23
Good morning and welcome to the latest issue of neonpulse!
Here are the AI headlines making waves:
🌊 America’s AI embargo
🌊 AI’s teenage growing pains
🌊 Headline 3
Let’s get into it!
America’s AI Embargo
As we covered earlier, the United States is working hard to become the dominant world player in AI, going as far as to impose strict export controls on the most powerful AI chips in order to slow down the competition.
But is it working?
Well if you analyze how China has responded to the AI chip embargo, it looks like U.S. chip export restrictions aren't the AI apocalypse they were made out to be.
And as it turns out, China's AI industry has barely broken a sweat, finding simple workarounds that allow them to progress the development of AI without the latest and greatest American tech.
"We have been preparing for this situation for a long time. We don't really feel the impact, to be honest," said Xie Yinan, VP at Megvii, one of China’s largest AI companies.
And while China does not have access to Nvidia’s flagship H100 AI microchip, for example, they are still able to purchase the lower performing H800 chips from the company.
Nvidia H800 AI Microchip
And while the H800 chip that China has access to is approximately half as fast as the H100 version, China has found a simple solution…
Buying twice as many of them.
"At that point, you've got to spend $20 million instead of $10 million to train it," said an industry insider, who chose to remain anonymous due to agreements with partners.
"Does that suck? Yes it does. But does it make developing AI impossible for Alibaba or Baidu? No, it's not a problem."
You can learn more here.
AI’s Teenage Years
Gary Marcus knows a thing or two about AI.
Currently a professor of psychology and neuroscience at New York University, Marcus is one of the world's leading voices in AI, having founded 2 AI startups (one of which was acquired by Uber in 2016) and now spends his free time raising awareness about AI.
"It’s potential capabilities are revolutionary," he says.
"In medicine, for example, it will help us understand how the brain works, and develop drugs for diseases that we have not been able to cure ourselves. If we do it right, in the long run, the sky's the limit."
Yet Marcus recognizes that there is a significant gap between the potential benefits of AI in the future, and where we are today.
"I think of this moment as the teenage phase of artificial intelligence,” Marcus said in a recent interview.
“What we have right now are tools with extraordinary power on the one hand, that are completely unreliable on the other. In many ways it resembles a teenager, who suddenly, for the first time, has some power, but doesn't really have a complete prefrontal cortex to stop doing some things that shouldn't be done.”
And while AI will eventually progress to a point where this is no longer a danger, getting to that point is going to take a little while.
“In 50 years we'll probably have a more mature artificial intelligence with much better control, but right now we have technology that is suddenly being used a lot and that worries me."
One of the biggest concerns that Marcus has about AI is the potential for the creation and spreading misinformation, a revolution in technology that could prove to be destabilizing to our way of life.
“The way that artificial intelligence is progressing today will lead us to a world where no one trusts anything, and these circumstances will make it difficult for democracies to function," Marcus said.
"The combination of deepfaking and advanced language models is going to lead us into a world where bad actors can make up as much information as they want and whatever narrative they want, filled with references to studies that never happened with compelling bits of data that don't exist.”
“This is a disaster waiting to happen. These machines can be made to do very bad things, And I believe that we will see all kinds of alarming scenarios materialize, such as stock market crashes and countless other damages."
These concerns have led Marcus to become a major proponent of AI regulation with the hopes of minimizing the potential dangers.
"In the short term, we have to ask ourselves if the benefits to productivity outweigh the possible risks to democracy,” said Marcus.
“And I'm not sure about the answer.”
You can check out the full interview here.
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That’s all for today folks! We hope you enjoyed today’s newsletter, and we’ll see you bright and early tomorrow!5/10/2’